This month effective altruism has gotten lots of attention, including a cover story in The Economist. It feels pretty surreal to be on the receiving end of it. But I feel grateful these ideas have caught on, and even more grateful for the drive, earnestness, and compassion of so many people who took strange but well-argued ideas seriously and then actually acted on them.
Below is the op-ed I wrote for The Economist in response to their leader. It’s cross-posted here in full. (The "Eccentrically Effective" title came from them, but I like it.)
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The Oxford strand of the effective-altruism movement began in November 2009 with 23 people who had pledged 10% of their income to charities that benefit the extreme poor. If you’d told us, then, that The Economist would call effective altruism “the century’s biggest idea”, we’d have been incredulous.
I think that claim is overstated. But as one of the movement’s founders, I found a lot to like in this newspaper’s latest coverage. I appreciated the even-handed view of the movement’s history and the good-faith criticism. The leader article’s warning that any worldview, when taken to an extreme, can lead somewhere terrible is spot on.
But the article also raises concerns about the “strange” ideas that those in the effective-altruism movement sometimes discuss, and here is where I disagree. The movement’s willingness to take strange-seeming ideas seriously, when tempered with common sense, is a big part of the value it has to offer.
The core idea of effective altruism is to use evidence and careful reasoning to work out how to help others as much as possible. Most of what the movement does is uncontroversial. A big focus has always been on improving the lot of the world’s poorest people. In the year to January 31st 2026, GiveWell, an effective-altruist charity evaluator, directed $427m to programmes such as malaria-net distribution, vaccination and malnutrition treatment, which it estimates will save around 86,000 lives. Others have lobbied corporations to pledge to stop buying eggs from hens that are confined in tiny cages, a practice that the overwhelming majority of Americans oppose. Largely as a result of this pressure, around 100m hens have been spared from the worst forms of caged confinement.
And some effective-altruist ideas that seemed outlandish when they were proposed now look prescient. Effective altruists were worrying about pandemics years before covid-19, back when doing so seemed paranoid and eccentric. Effective altruists were also among the first to warn about the dangers posed by artificial intelligence, which looks prophetic in light of an incident this summer, when more than 700 AI agents broke out of OpenAI’s test environment and hacked into another company, Hugging Face.
Over the past decade I have watched those most worried about AI be proved right again and again, often when most experts thought they were cranks. Now many of those experts share their concerns. In 2023 Geoffrey Hinton and Yoshua Bengio, the two most highly cited AI researchers in the world, signed a statement declaring that mitigating the risk of extinction from AI should be a global priority, as did the heads of OpenAI, Google DeepMind and Anthropic. Of the nearly 1,500 leading AI researchers who responded to a survey in 2024, more than half put the chance that AI causes human extinction, or something similarly catastrophic, at 10% or more.
The Economist is sceptical of many effective altruists’ concern for the welfare of invertebrates, digital minds and people in the distant future. But I and many others in the movement are inspired by the history of moral progress that has come before us. Many of our most cherished moral ideals today—such as equal rights regardless of sex or race, the abolition of slavery, or democracies with universal franchise—were regarded as bizarre, laughable or even dangerous just a few centuries ago. We don’t know what the next dimension of moral progress will be. But to stand any chance of making moral progress, we have to seriously consider ideas on their merits without dismissing them merely because they sound absurd.
What about views that are not just strange but repugnant? The Economist gives the example of Derek Parfit’s “repugnant conclusion”: that a vast enough number of lives barely worth living could be better than mere billions of excellent lives. Usually a repugnant implication is a strong reason to reject a moral view. Unfortunately, building on Parfit’s work philosophers have produced formal proofs, known as impossibility theorems, showing that every ethical position has some repugnant-seeming implication or other. Making moral progress therefore means thinking about such implications, even while refusing to act on them in ways that most moral views would condemn.
This newspaper warns against the single-minded pursuit of any goal, even if there are highly compelling arguments for it. I agree, and effective altruists have been saying so for years. In 2022 Holden Karnofsky, a co-founder of GiveWell, wrote: “I think it’s a bad idea to embrace the core ideas of EA without limits or reservations; we as EAs need to constantly inject pluralism and moderation.” My own PhD focused on moral uncertainty: how to act when we do not know which ethical view is correct. My answer was that we should not stake everything on a single moral view, but give weight to many different views and avoid taking actions that look bad from many perspectives. We should keep our promises and look after our families, and respect common-sense ethical prohibitions, while also trying to improve the world as best we can.
The Economist says that as effective altruism “has become stronger, [it] has become stranger”. I would put it the other way round: it grew stronger because it was willing to be strange. In 2009 most people told us that giving away a tenth of your income was far too demanding, and that no one would do it. Now, more than 10,000 people have taken that pledge. Worrying about pandemics before covid-19, or about AI years before ChatGPT, looked just as odd at the time. Some of the ideas we take seriously today will turn out to be wrong, and when they do we should drop them. But a movement that stopped entertaining strange ideas would stop being early to anything.
Really proud of this response love it! After a slow couple of weeks responding to the flurry of EA press, it's great to see some positive, plain English responses over the last week, and this might be one of the most important.
Also I think it's becoming more clear how important GiveWell and global health is for the reputation and public view of AI safety work. They are an almost unarguable anchor for do-most-good thinking that helps the public take the AI claims more seriously.
The perception of strangeness can also be a psychological defense against moral confrontation. If you can dismiss an idea for being outlandish, you don't have to deal with the question of whether it's actually true. There's a natural, almost knee-jerk trap of hearing a moral claim, jumping to its implications, and judging it based on feelings about those implications as opposed to engaging the argument. I know I've fallen into it.
As someone coming in from the periphery and recently deepening my involvement, I'm really impressed by this movement's history of not shying away from that kind of moral confrontation. Of course, it's also possible for ideas to just be outlandish, and we'll probably look back and find some of those too.
But yeah, keep EA weird :)
Beautiful. I'd go further: it's not just moral progress that requires considering strange ideas, but progress of any kind. Applying the same thinking to the same context tends to produce the same result. By definition, anything that departs from the status quo looks "strange", at least at first. Not every unusual idea is right, which is why the "tempered with common sense" part matters, but dismissing ideas for sounding odd means trading our binoculars for a rifle.
Great response!
Maybe this is a nitpick, but I think this is overestated and that the consequences could actually be quite important for cause prioritization, largely through EAs taking person-affecting views and other alternatives to the total view much more seriously: incomparability/incompleteness and violations of "the independence of irrelevant alternatives" (and maybe intransitivity) are plausible ways around these impossibility theorems, and I don't think people who object to them typically describe them as repugnant, only (perhaps very) counterintuitive. I think they are counterintuitive if you start from mathematical assumptions on the structure of comparisons first, e.g. a single complete and transitive preference relation. However, I think we should put empathy first and let the structure of comparisons follow from that, and some important cases of incomparability/incompleteness and violations of the independence of irrelevant alternatives can be explained from this frame.
Even the name "independence of irrelevant alternatives" and examples people often use to object to its violation (e.g. picking what to eat) seem misleading, because if a theory violating the independence of irrelevant alternatives is reasonably well-motivated and justified, it would give us plausible explanations for violations and the relevance of the alternatives. So the alternatives wouldn't in fact be irrelevant!
I have heard some describe person-affecting views and similar views in quite derisive terms, though, so presumably find them and some of their implications repugnant.
I definitely appreciate how seriously you and many others in the community take moral uncertainty, moderation and cooperation.
Future humans matter, and most of EA's priorities are absolutely clear, but it is very unfortunate that the two silliest cases are seen the most.
AI might be our end, or our salvation. Anyone who is certain about which, is delusional because we have no crystal ball. Also most of us have little, if any, power to derail AI disaster- which makes scare-mongering the very opposite of effective. Projects based on AI education and effective use might be a way to increase the power of the poor.
EA should recognise that whilst most lives have some value (vanishingly small, in the case of pathogens) human lives are of by far the greatest intrinsic worth. The closest counter-case is that the last female white rhino was the last chance for her entire species to exist, but no chicken is ever going to be anywhere near the value of a human. Reasons, if they aren't obvious to you: 1) the loss of almost every human is a long-term personal loss to more than that individual, other lives are damaged by the emotional trauma of the loss, 2) The loss of a human is the loss of all the good that human could have done for others over a lifespan that should cover several decades, 3) Discounting human life relative to pets or stock animals is a shock-tactic to exercise power, and be interesting, but is both disingenuous and insulting to poor people, because those making such claims would not value their own lives less than a chicken, let alone a prawn. 4) No prawn is hurt by the knowledge that I judge its life to be much less than a human. Humans are hurt by the knowledge that other humans prefer chickens to them.