I spent only about two hours on these replies

This is such generous engagement. Thank you!

I found this incredibly beautiful. Thank you for sharing it <3

[AI Use Disclosure: Asked Claude to draft this, then entirely rejected its suggestions]

I laughed out loud at this xD excellent use of the AI disclosure tag.

I'm SUPER excited for this one. I find trying to think sanely about cluelessness hard and a bit demoralizing at times (and I've heard that from others too). I'd really value reading more about ways people who've spent more time on this orient to the topic.

I'll be following along!

I really like this description and it resonates with me. +1 to “I hope we don’t lose you at the 4th step” :)

It’s so desperately sad to have uncertainty about extremely important things, and yet we still need to choose how to act. It feels very productive to discuss where to allocate marginal resources between “reduce our uncertainty further” and “take the best step according to our current evidence base”, and I’m glad to see it being discussed.

Just a note that I believe US permanent residents (green card holders) can make 501c4 donations as well as US citizens!

This reply made me smile :) Thank you for helping refine and spread so many simple, important ideas! I and many people I know owe so much to that work.

I really enjoyed the version of this post that you shared at EAG SF. For posterity, my reaction after listening to the EAG talk was: "Wow, that talk was annoyingly helpful."

Annoying because: the core premise is so obvious, and yet I found spelling out the implications surprisingly clarifying! I think listening to that talk may have substantially accelerated my thinking on a key life decision I have been mulling on.

Thank you so much, @Toby_Ord :) I strongly upvoted.

So interesting, thanks! :)